Mt. Vernon (Fortville)
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #55
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #22
Rushville Regional Rank #3
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 17th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Valley Kickoff Arabian Roundup Rushville Invitational Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational Muncie Central Invitational Hancock County Golden Bear Invitational Hoosier Heritage Conference Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/16 8/26 8/29 9/5 9/12 9/15 9/22 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24
Team Rating 580 677 522 627 519 553 607 575 623 583 648 591 571
Team Adjusted Rating 677 522 627 519 553 607 575 623 583 648 591 571
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Valley Kickoff Arabian Roundup Rushville Invitational Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational Muncie Central Invitational Hancock County Golden Bear Invitational Hoosier Heritage Conference Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
276  Alexandria Jenson 9 20:34 20:55 21:54 21:07 20:42 20:47 21:11 20:46 20:59 20:38 21:23 20:43 20:20
337  Lydia Carrell 11 20:48 21:41 19:53 20:35 20:17 20:31 20:24 20:26 21:27 21:02 20:48 21:00 21:37
498  Esther Small 12 21:18 21:32 20:30 22:15 21:09 21:32 21:15 22:09 21:09 21:01 21:18 21:30 21:03
524  Victoria Jenson 10 21:22 20:50 20:58 20:56 20:57 21:14 21:47 21:42 21:46 21:47 21:47 21:17 21:06
544  Melinda Cornelius 10 21:25 22:08 22:27 22:15 21:16 21:33 21:17 21:00 21:20 21:41 21:25 21:11 21:16
568  Morgan Tharp 11 21:30 22:33 21:03 21:20 21:17 20:58 22:13 21:26 21:15 21:07 21:43 22:11 21:30
Alexandra Overshiner 11 23:42 26:04 26:00 26:27 24:51 24:00 24:08 23:42 23:51 23:25




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 16.6 430 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.3 5.2 8.3 16.7 47.3 18.2 0.8 0.1
Regionals 100% 3.0 79 0.4 99.3 0.3 0.0
Sectionals 100% 3.0 81 0.4 99.4 0.3



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alexandria Jenson 100% 84.0 99.9%
Lydia Carrell 100% 99.6 99.0%
Esther Small 100% 127.8 73.4%
Victoria Jenson 100% 131.4 65.9%
Melinda Cornelius 100% 134.5 58.7%
Morgan Tharp 100% 138.3 47.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alexandria Jenson 100% 12.0 0.2 1.0 2.1 4.7 8.7 10.2 11.7 12.0 11.6 10.8 8.9 6.8 5.0 3.3 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Lydia Carrell 100% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.6 3.2 4.4 6.7 8.6 10.5 11.3 12.8 12.1 9.5 6.9 4.2 2.6 1.5 1.1 0.6 0.4 100.0%
Esther Small 100% 22.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.0 1.9 3.4 4.7 6.6 7.6 9.2 8.8 8.1 7.7 6.9 100.0%
Victoria Jenson 100% 24.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 2.1 3.7 5.1 6.2 7.4 7.8 8.2 7.5 7.1 100.0%
Melinda Cornelius 100% 25.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.9 3.4 4.9 5.6 6.8 7.3 7.7 7.6 100.0%
Morgan Tharp 100% 27.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 1.9 2.9 4.0 4.9 5.3 6.3 6.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alexandria Jenson 10.6 0.0 0.1 1.3 2.3 5.9 13.0 16.9 17.7 21.0 12.9 5.5 2.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Lydia Carrell 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.9 6.2 9.7 15.9 24.6 18.4 10.3 5.0 2.5 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Esther Small 17.7 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.6 5.5 10.0 12.6 11.8 10.8 9.6 8.6 7.3 5.9 4.3 3.5 2.7
Victoria Jenson 18.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 3.4 6.1 9.2 10.8 10.7 9.7 9.2 8.6 7.0 6.0 5.1 4.2
Melinda Cornelius 19.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.2 4.1 6.6 8.9 9.1 9.6 9.2 9.0 8.0 7.4 6.3 5.8
Morgan Tharp 21.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.0 2.5 4.0 5.9 7.0 8.1 8.3 8.4 8.8 9.1 7.9 7.1